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Building Fire Direct Loss Evaluation Based on Fire Dynamics and Probability Statistics Theory

Chu Guanquan,Sun Jinhua

Strategic Study of CAE 2004, Volume 6, Issue 8,   Pages 64-68

Abstract:

Based on fire growth probability and burned area, the method for evaluating burned area in buildingfire is presented in this paper.According to fire dynamics and different characteristics in fire growth process, the process is dividedBy means of probability theory and event tree analysis, fire growth probability and critical time of

Keywords： building fire     fire risk evaluation     event tree     probability     burned area    

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Fire Risk Evaluation for Historic Building of The Potala Pal ace

Zhuang Lei,Lu Shouxiang,Wang Fuliang

Strategic Study of CAE 2007, Volume 9, Issue 3,   Pages 76-81

Abstract: fire safety, the situation of fire hazard was investigated in detail.Fire risk evaluation described in this paper is one kind of semi-quantitative methods.It uses a model of multiple attribute evaluation to produce a measure of relative fire risk.Weights are established to indicate the importance of fire risk parameters.Fire risk is evaluated by the scalar product of the parameter weights and grades, producing a single

Keywords： the Potala Palace     historical buildings     fire risk assessment     semi-quantitative methods     firehazard    

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ANN Analysis of Multi-correlation Between Forest Fire Risk and Weather Parameters

Song Weiguo,Ma Jian,Satoh K,Wang Jian

Strategic Study of CAE 2006, Volume 8, Issue 2,   Pages 61-66

Abstract:

Calculation of forest fire probability is a complex issue concerning weather, tree species, geographyThe impact of weather parameters on fire has been one of the hot spots in the forest fire study.parameters, and the BP network is a practical method in fire risk analysis.The study has practical implicaitons for forest fire risk prediction and the results can act as a basicdata in forest fire proteciton.

Keywords： neural network     forest fire     fire probability     weather     fire risk    

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Evaluation on Fire Prevention Performance of Glass Wall

Zhang Qingwen,Zhang Heping,Yang Yun,Yao Bin,Yang Jianpeng

Strategic Study of CAE 2005, Volume 7, Issue 12,   Pages 83-87

Abstract:

The application of large quantities of glass wall in modern buildings challenged fire safety designRegulations of glass wall in traditional fire code were analyzed and its advantages and disadvantagesBy using performance-based fire safety design concept, fire prevention performance evaluation of glassPerformance criteria and heat transition calculation method were put forward, and an example of evaluationThe result of evaluation would provide reference to fire safety design, verification and acceptance.

Keywords： glass wall     fire prevention     performance-based     evaluation    

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Aerosol exposure assessment during reclaimed water utilization in China and risk evaluation in case of

Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering 2022, Volume 16, Issue 7, doi: 10.1007/s11783-021-1516-1

Abstract:

• The Chinese population exposure habits were surveyed.

Keywords： Legionella     QMRA     Reclaimed water     Aerosol     Water reuse    

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The Application of Risk Matrix to Acquisition Risk Evaluation for Weapon and Equipment

Li Zhongmin,Wei Yiming,Tang Shuchun,Chen Jian

Strategic Study of CAE 2006, Volume 8, Issue 6,   Pages 95-99

Abstract:

Risk evaluation is the basis of acquisition management for weapon and equipment.the application of risk matrix in acquisition risk evaluation for weapon and equipment in China.Then, the paper, beginning with the two rules of risk impact and risk probability, demonstrates riskevaluation of a type of weapon and equipment as a case study, thus lays a basis for the scientific andrational risk management decision making.

Keywords： risk matrix     risk evaluation     acquisition for weapon and equipment    

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Detection of schedule delay risk of empirical construction projects

Tsegay GEBREHIWET, Hanbin LUO

Frontiers of Engineering Management 2018, Volume 5, Issue 2,   Pages 251-267 doi: 10.15302/J-FEM-2018086

Abstract: In Ethiopian construction projects, schedule delay risk is a predominant issue because it is not properlyAlthough several studies have been focused on the various effects of risk in construction projects, limitedefforts have been made to investigate the typical and the overall schedule delay risk.the multiple-criteria decision-making (MCDM) model of fuzzy analytic hierarchy process comprehensive evaluationthe exact risk level on specific activity to make appropriate decision.

Keywords： fuzzy analytic hierarchy process comprehensive evaluation     construction project     detection of delay risk    

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Analysis of GM（1，1）Model and Its Application in Fire Risk Prediction

Chen Zijin,Wang Fuliang,Lu Shouxiang

Strategic Study of CAE 2007, Volume 9, Issue 5,   Pages 91-94

Abstract:  Example applications of the criterion in fire risk grey prediction are discussed.

Keywords： fire forecast     GM(1     1)     rate of the fire injured    

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Risk evaluation for the task transfer of an aircraft maintenance program based on a multielement connection

Frontiers of Engineering Management doi: 10.1007/s42524-023-0282-0

Abstract: framework for evaluating the efficacy and suitability of maintenance programs with a focus on quantitative riskThe paper advances a holistic risk assessment index architecture tailored for the task transfer of maintenancecharacterize decision-specific data, thereby facilitating the quantification of task transfer-associated riskMoreover, the paper conducts a temporal risk trend analysis founded on partial connection numbers ofThis analytical construct serves to streamline the process of risk assessment pertinent to maintenance

Keywords： risk evaluation     maintenance steering group     analytic network process     task transfer     maintenance program    

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A novel method for reliability and risk evaluation of wind energy conversion systems considering wind

Seyed Mohsen MIRYOUSEFI AVAL,Amir AHADI,Hosein HAYATI

Frontiers in Energy 2016, Volume 10, Issue 1,   Pages 46-56 doi: 10.1007/s11708-015-0384-4

Abstract: This paper investigates an analytical approach for the reliability modeling of doubly fed induction generator (DFIG) wind turbines. At present, to the best of the authors’ knowledge, wind speed and wind turbine generator outage have not been addressed simultaneously. In this paper, a novel methodology based on the Weibull-Markov method is proposed for evaluating the probabilistic reliability of the bulk electric power systems, including DFIG wind turbines, considering wind speed and wind turbine generator outage. The proposed model is presented in terms of appropriate wind speed modeling as well as capacity outage probability table (COPT), considering component failures of the wind turbine generators. Based on the proposed method, the COPT of the wind farm has been developed and utilized on the IEEE RBTS to estimate the well-known reliability and sensitive indices. The simulation results reveal the importance of inclusion of wind turbine generator outage as well as wind speed in the reliability assessment of the wind farms. Moreover, the proposed method reduces the complexity of using analytical methods and provides an accurate reliability model for the wind turbines. Furthermore, several case studies are considered to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method in practical applications.

Keywords： doubly-fed induction generator (DFIG)     composite system adequacy assessment     wind speed correlation    

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Study on Fire Risk Assessment on Steel Constructions of National Theater

Xu Liang,Zhang Heping,Zhu Wuba,Yang Yun

Strategic Study of CAE 2005, Volume 7, Issue 3,   Pages 59-63

Abstract:

The purpose of this paper is to study how the high-temperature smoke would affect the steel constructions of the national theater. CFD method and empirical equations are employed to calculate the temperatures in the huge public hall interactively. A steel construction safe temperature of 250℃ is determined, and the calculated smoke temperatures are under the determined steel construction safe temperature, which proves the steel constructions of the national theater will pot be damaged by the smoke produced in fires.

Keywords： national theater     steel constructions     fire    

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Evaluation of the relative risk of stroke in patients with hypertension using cerebrovascular hemodynamic

HUANG Jiuyi, WANG Guiqing, GUO Jiping, CAO Yifeng, WANG Yan, YANG Yongju, YU Xuehai

Frontiers of Medicine 2007, Volume 1, Issue 3,   Pages 274-278 doi: 10.1007/s11684-007-0052-0

Abstract: The relative risk (RR) of stroke in patients with hypertension was evaluated by using synthetic indexpatients with hypertension with ages ≥40 years were selected from a population-based cohort study of the riskThe data on the baseline investigation of risk factors, the determination of cerebrovascular hemodynamicThe risk of stroke in patients with hypertension is closely asso ciated with hemodynamic impairment andthe hemodynamic score may be used for quantitative evaluation of relative risks of stroke.

Keywords： inclusion     quantitative evaluation     cerebrovascular     relative     decrease    

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Risk analysis methods of the water resources system under uncertainty

Zeying GUI,Chenglong ZHANG,Mo Li,Ping GUO

Frontiers of Agricultural Science and Engineering 2015, Volume 2, Issue 3,   Pages 205-215 doi: 10.15302/J-FASE-2015073

Abstract: system (WRS) is its great complexity and uncertainty, which makes it highly desirable to carry out a riskcognitive ability are possible sources of the uncertainties that need to be taken into account in the riskThen the quantitative characterization methods of risk analysis are introduced, including three criteriamodel, conditional value at risk model, chance-constrained risk model, minimizing probability of riskA more comprehensive risk analysis methodology for the WRS is proposed based on the comparison of the

Keywords： water resources system     evaluation criterion     optimization model     risk analysis method     uncertainty    

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The Risk Analysis of Liquefied Petroleum Gas Leak and the Consequence Assessment Method

Chen Sining,Sun Jinhua,Wang Qingsong

Strategic Study of CAE 2005, Volume 7, Issue 9,   Pages 61-64

Abstract:

The liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) has multifarious risks associated with fire or explosion in theThe leak of LPG can induce disasters including flash fire, unconfined vapor cloud explosion (UVCE), boilingIn this paper, occuring condition and risk of those disasters are analyzed.Quantified risk analysis (QRA) is used in consequence assessment.

Keywords： fire     liquefied petroleum gas leak     risk analysis     consequence assessment    

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Construction risk estimation of TBM and discussion on key risk countermeasures of Bohai Strait tunnel

Li Da,Hong Kairong and Tan Zhongsheng

Strategic Study of CAE 2013, Volume 15, Issue 12,   Pages 95-100

Abstract: risks of Bohai Strait tunnel are made by means of analytic hierarchy process (AHP) fuzzy comprehensive evaluationThe results show that the construction risk grade of Bohai Strait tunnel is grade Ⅲ.

Keywords： Bohai Strait tunnel     analytic hierarchy process     fuzzy evaluation     risk estimation     risk countermeasure    

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Title Author Date Type Operation

Building Fire Direct Loss Evaluation Based on Fire Dynamics and Probability Statistics Theory

Chu Guanquan,Sun Jinhua

Journal Article

Fire Risk Evaluation for Historic Building of The Potala Pal ace

Zhuang Lei,Lu Shouxiang,Wang Fuliang

Journal Article

ANN Analysis of Multi-correlation Between Forest Fire Risk and Weather Parameters

Song Weiguo,Ma Jian,Satoh K,Wang Jian

Journal Article

Evaluation on Fire Prevention Performance of Glass Wall

Zhang Qingwen,Zhang Heping,Yang Yun,Yao Bin,Yang Jianpeng

Journal Article

Aerosol exposure assessment during reclaimed water utilization in China and risk evaluation in case of

Journal Article

The Application of Risk Matrix to Acquisition Risk Evaluation for Weapon and Equipment

Li Zhongmin,Wei Yiming,Tang Shuchun,Chen Jian

Journal Article

Detection of schedule delay risk of empirical construction projects

Tsegay GEBREHIWET, Hanbin LUO

Journal Article

Analysis of GM（1，1）Model and Its Application in Fire Risk Prediction

Chen Zijin,Wang Fuliang,Lu Shouxiang

Journal Article

Risk evaluation for the task transfer of an aircraft maintenance program based on a multielement connection

Journal Article

A novel method for reliability and risk evaluation of wind energy conversion systems considering wind

Seyed Mohsen MIRYOUSEFI AVAL,Amir AHADI,Hosein HAYATI

Journal Article

Study on Fire Risk Assessment on Steel Constructions of National Theater

Xu Liang,Zhang Heping,Zhu Wuba,Yang Yun

Journal Article

Evaluation of the relative risk of stroke in patients with hypertension using cerebrovascular hemodynamic

HUANG Jiuyi, WANG Guiqing, GUO Jiping, CAO Yifeng, WANG Yan, YANG Yongju, YU Xuehai

Journal Article

Risk analysis methods of the water resources system under uncertainty

Zeying GUI,Chenglong ZHANG,Mo Li,Ping GUO

Journal Article

The Risk Analysis of Liquefied Petroleum Gas Leak and the Consequence Assessment Method

Chen Sining,Sun Jinhua,Wang Qingsong

Journal Article

Construction risk estimation of TBM and discussion on key risk countermeasures of Bohai Strait tunnel

Li Da,Hong Kairong and Tan Zhongsheng

Journal Article